Skymet Speculates 'Below-Normal' Monsoon Rains In India This Year

According to the private weather forecasting agency Skymet, India is expected to receive below-average monsoon rainfall in 2023, with a higher chance of El-Nino occurrence.

El Nino is typically associated with dry weather conditions in Asia, and the possibility of it becoming the dominant category during the monsoon season is increasing. Jatin Singh, the managing director of Skymet, stated that the return of El Nino could result in a weaker monsoon.

According to Skymet, the monsoon rains in India are anticipated to be 94% of the long-term average, which confirms their earlier prediction of below-average monsoon. In India, the standard rainfall is defined as ranging from 96% to 104% of a 50-year average of 88 centimeters (35 inches) for the four months from June to September.

The India Meteorological Department, which is run by the government, is expected to release its annual monsoon forecast soon. Almost half of India's non-irrigated farmland relies on the yearly rains from June to September to cultivate crops such as rice, corn, cane, cotton, and soybeans.

Skymet forecasts that the northern and central regions of the country will be at risk of experiencing rainfall deficits.

According to the weather forecast, the agricultural region of North India, comprising Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh, is expected to experience below-average rainfall during the second half of the season.

In addition, unanticipated rain and hailstorms have caused harm to winter-sown crops like wheat in the productive northern, central, and western plains of India.

This has put many farmers at risk of suffering losses and has increased the likelihood of higher food prices in the future.

-Reuters

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